Archives for Betting Systems category

nfl-babeThe ultimate NFL betting system in essence operates in favour of the underdog. If you bet with this system beware that although highly successful, it only works once a season. Basically you would pick the opponent of a team who has scored 30 or more points and given up 10 or fewer points in two straight games prior to the game you are about to wager on.  The system wins if the opponent of sans team either covers the spread or wins the game. It was established in 1989, yet has only accumulated a record of 11 wins and one loss in that span. Here are three examples of the ultimate NFL betting system in play:

1.      2008 only time system did not work- In 2008 the Baltimore Ravens became the exception to the rule as after scoring 30 or more points and giving up 10 or fewer points in two straight games prior to their match against the Washington Redskins, they continued to cruise against them. Going into the match the Redskins were a six point underdog, and in order to make the system successful, they needed to either pull the upset or lose by less than six. Instead they continued a rather poor season by losing 24 to 10.

2.      2009 System Rebounds - During the 2009 season the UBS was used only once in a game where the San Francisco 49ers faced the league’s most explosive offence the Indianapolis Colts. Prior to the game the 49ers were a 13 point underdog. However the system rebounded because the 49ers only lost by four in an 18-14 final.

3.      2006 System works and commercial occurs - The Arizona Cardinals made the UBS successful as although a 12 point underdog they led the game 20 to nothing by the half. Yet in the second half they completely collapsed and although making the system a winner, would lose 24 to 23 as the Chicago Bears stormed all the way back. This collapse is one of the biggest in all of sports, and the rant by the Cardinals coach has been featured in various beer commercials.

buckeye-babeThe NFL point differential system is one of the many strategies betting enthusiast have exhausted over the years in an attempt to pick a winner in a given game. In essence fans average out the total amount of points for and allowed by each team in a matchup and calculate the winner based on the average outcome of the total amount of points prior. When betting on NFL if you enjoy math this can be the system for you. Below is an example of how the system has been used in years past.

In week seven the Denver Broncos will be playing against the Miami Dolphins in Miami. Through the first six weeks of the season the Broncos have scored 104 points and allowed 148 points. After calculating the team’s average points per game by taking 104 and dividing it with six, we get an average of 17.33 points for after doing the same calculation between points allowed and the six games we get an average of 24.67 points.

How the system works?

Step 1: List all of the teams the road team has played in the six weeks prior to facing the Dolphins and record the number of points allowed and scored in each of those six games.

Broncos Opponents:

Week 1: Vs. Vikings 22.33 - 20.5

Week 2: Vs. Saints 18.5 - 20.33

Week 3: Vs Colts 23 - 17.83

Week 4: Vs Bills 18.83 - 17

Week 5: Vs Chargers 26 - 18.16

Week 6: Vs Lions 16.33 - 19.17

Step 2: Add up the totals of points scored and divide by six then add up all the totals for points allowed and divide by six to get the average of points allowed and points scored per game.

Points scored: 22.33+18.5+23+18.83+26+16.33 = 125.17 / 6 = 20.86

Points allowed: 20.5+20.33+17.83+17+18.16+19.17=110.83 /6 = 18.47

Step 3: Divide road teams average points for against the opponents average points allowed.
17.33/18.47= 0.94

Essentially the Broncos offense runs at a 94 percent success rate as to the average of the entire league.

Step 4: Divide road teams average points allowed by their opponents average points scored:

24.67/20.86 = 1.18

This number tells us that if the average NFL defense operates at 1 percent, and Denver’s defense is at 1.18 percent, then they play at 18 percent worse than the norm.

 
 

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