Archives for Betting Systems category
Recently in a press conference, NFL commissioner Roger Goddell mentioned that he has no plans of relocation for any of the 32 teams. He also hinted that if there was going to be an expansion team given to the city of Los Angeles, there possibly would be a 34th team brought into the NFL.
This begs the question – what other cities would the NFL expand to. If you were into NFL betting, where would you choose?
After looking at the various scenarios, I’ve focused my attention to three US cities, even though online sports betting sites think there’s a possibility of expansion abroad to Toronto and Mexico City.
1) Oklahoma City
When you think sports and Oklahoma – you think football. They have a long tradition in college football with the Sooners and Cowboys, as well as high school football. The state of Oklahoma also has a population of 1.2 million and Oklahoma City has 580,000 habitants, more than enough to fill an NFL stadium.
What also works for Oklahoma City is the fact that there’s no NFL team within 3 hours of the city, so they wouldn’t be taking a fan base away from the Dallas Cowboys. The city has shown fan support for the Thunder in the NBA proving that a professional sports team can co-exist with their love for college sports.
2) Portland
Very similar to Oklahoma City is Portland. A big college football fanbase that supports the University of Oreganand Oregon State and a city that has a professional basketball team in the Blazers. The city of Portland has a population a bit over 583,000 and 2.26 million people in the state.
They are in close proximity to the Seattle Seahawks, but I don’t see an expansion to Portland affecting the sold-out Seahawks one-bit. Contrary to that thought, I think an NFL team in Portland would create a great rivalry with the Seahawks as their used to be between the Sonics and Blazers in the NBA. Portland is a sports town as they have recently embraced their new MLS franchise, the Timbers.
3) San Antonio
When you think football – you think Texas. It might have already two NFL teams in Dallas and Houston, but why wouldn’t a third work? It works in the NBA and that’s not even the state’s favourite sport.
San Antonio has a population of 1.3 million, the seventh largest in the United States and a stadium that was built for football in the Alamodome that seats 65,000. The city has been a huge success with the NBA and there’s no doubt the city would support an NFL franchise to rival the Cowboys and Texans.
2
Apr
Posted in Betting Systems |
NBA scores are hot right now as the stretch run is right around the corner, but football is never far away in the minds of sports betting players and that means you should be already thinking about which team(s) you’re going to bet on to win the Super Bowl. Here are a few pointers to get you started.
One of the first things you should do is track all the transactions that went down in the offseason and many players that buy pay head software will tell you that doesn’t just mean the players, but coaches as well. Teams are always looking to improve their team however they can, whether it is through players or the coaching staff and you should know what teams made moves between seasons. The draft is also something to look at as some rookies may be pushed into a starting position.
Injuries will also play a part in how you evaluate a team’s Super Bowl chances, and you can look back at how a team fared in the previous season. Some teams are simply loaded with injury-prone players and if that is the case, you’re probably not going to consider them very much in your sportsbook.
Finally, the quarterback position is the single most important position on the field and a team that has a suspect quarterback isn’t going to be very high in your Super Bowl lines. Last year’s Super Bowl featured two excellent pivots, and you need to have a quarterback that is at least very good to be considered a sport betting favorite for the big game.
6
Feb
Posted in Betting Systems |
Whether you write a hockey blog or you are a soccer fan, you have probably ran across NFL betting odds if you live in North America; quite simply, it’s the most popular sports league in this area of the world and people love to wager on it. However, it can be tough to come away with success, unless you know a few tricks and here is one that could end up injecting your sports betting account with some life (and by life, we mean money).
Basically, it takes a lot of research (those playing March Madness odds will hear that word a lot over the next couple of months), but it can come in handy during the football season. There is a system that takes numerous variables into account and then a grade or score is assigned to a team. It includes factors like weather, injuries, overall play, how a team is trending, and so on.
After that is all broken down, it is simple math: if there is a matchup between two teams where there is a 30-point difference between the two sides, than that is a game you should wager on. But anything under 30 points and the system sees that matchup as a big risk.
There is a lot that goes into this system, but you can find the nuances of it on the internet and if you can master it, you will be laughing all the way to the bank next season as you’re making your online betting picks for the NFL.
21
Jul
Posted in Betting Systems |
The ultimate NFL betting system in essence operates in favour of the underdog. If you bet with this system beware that although highly successful, it only works once a season. Basically you would pick the opponent of a team who has scored 30 or more points and given up 10 or fewer points in two straight games prior to the game you are about to wager on. The system wins if the opponent of sans team either covers the spread or wins the game. It was established in 1989, yet has only accumulated a record of 11 wins and one loss in that span. Here are three examples of the ultimate NFL betting system in play:
1. 2008 only time system did not work- In 2008 the Baltimore Ravens became the exception to the rule as after scoring 30 or more points and giving up 10 or fewer points in two straight games prior to their match against the Washington Redskins, they continued to cruise against them. Going into the match the Redskins were a six point underdog, and in order to make the system successful, they needed to either pull the upset or lose by less than six. Instead they continued a rather poor season by losing 24 to 10.
2. 2009 System Rebounds – During the 2009 season the UBS was used only once in a game where the San Francisco 49ers faced the league’s most explosive offence the Indianapolis Colts. Prior to the game the 49ers were a 13 point underdog. However the system rebounded because the 49ers only lost by four in an 18-14 final.
3. 2006 System works and commercial occurs – The Arizona Cardinals made the UBS successful as although a 12 point underdog they led the game 20 to nothing by the half. Yet in the second half they completely collapsed and although making the system a winner, would lose 24 to 23 as the Chicago Bears stormed all the way back. This collapse is one of the biggest in all of sports, and the rant by the Cardinals coach has been featured in various beer commercials.
21
Jul
Posted in Betting Systems |
The NFL point differential system is one of the many strategies betting enthusiast have exhausted over the years in an attempt to pick a winner in a given game. In essence fans average out the total amount of points for and allowed by each team in a matchup and calculate the winner based on the average outcome of the total amount of points prior. When betting on NFL if you enjoy math this can be the system for you. Below is an example of how the system has been used in years past.
In week seven the Denver Broncos will be playing against the Miami Dolphins in Miami. Through the first six weeks of the season the Broncos have scored 104 points and allowed 148 points. After calculating the team’s average points per game by taking 104 and dividing it with six, we get an average of 17.33 points for after doing the same calculation between points allowed and the six games we get an average of 24.67 points.
How the system works?
Step 1: List all of the teams the road team has played in the six weeks prior to facing the Dolphins and record the number of points allowed and scored in each of those six games.
Broncos Opponents:
Week 1: Vs. Vikings 22.33 – 20.5
Week 2: Vs. Saints 18.5 – 20.33
Week 3: Vs Colts 23 – 17.83
Week 4: Vs Bills 18.83 – 17
Week 5: Vs Chargers 26 – 18.16
Week 6: Vs Lions 16.33 – 19.17
Step 2: Add up the totals of points scored and divide by six then add up all the totals for points allowed and divide by six to get the average of points allowed and points scored per game.
Points scored: 22.33+18.5+23+18.83+26+16.33 = 125.17 / 6 = 20.86
Points allowed: 20.5+20.33+17.83+17+18.16+19.17=110.83 /6 = 18.47
Step 3: Divide road teams average points for against the opponents average points allowed.
17.33/18.47= 0.94
Essentially the Broncos offense runs at a 94 percent success rate as to the average of the entire league.
Step 4: Divide road teams average points allowed by their opponents average points scored:
24.67/20.86 = 1.18
This number tells us that if the average NFL defense operates at 1 percent, and Denver’s defense is at 1.18 percent, then they play at 18 percent worse than the norm.