Online betting gurus don’t pop onto the scene and immediately produce. They require years of study and practice to get where they are as betting practitioners. It’s the same for NFL football players. They might burst onto the scene as rookies, but their emergences as players are the product of many years of work at the high school and collegiate levels of competition. Which NFL rookies are ready to be the offensive rookie of the year for 2013?
Sportsbook experts know that on a general level, there is always a familiar set of questions which emerges right after the preseason ends, and the offensive rookie of the year is one such question. Which players stand to win this competition? Start with Cincinnati Bengal running back Giovani Bernard, who dazzled in a showcase game on Monday Night Football against the Pittsburgh Steelers. You might claim with a certain degree of reason that Bernard doesn’t take the best running lanes or angles when he gets into open space, either as a setback ballcarrier or as a pass catcher out of the backfield. However, Bernard’s speed will often make “angles” a moot point and a relatively meaningless consideration. Bernard is very much in the Darren Sproles mold. He’s going to be a lethal added weapon for the Bengals when coming out of the backfield to receive swing passes or passes in the flat. Defenses pushed downfield by a three- or four-wide receiver set are going to have little choice but to leave the short flat open, and that’s where Bernard is going to be able to catch the ball and run with it. He’s in position to have a great season.
For another choice in this discussion, one can look to Kenny Stills, a receiver from the University of Oklahoma, who is now with the New Orleans Saints. Stills played within an offensive framework at Oklahoma which involved a lot of passing and a lot of spread sets with many wide receivers. Going to New Orleans, a team which embraces a lot of the same concepts Oklahoma does, was a perfect landing spot for Stills. New Orleans head coach Sean Payton is one of the best tacticians in football, and Brees is one of the elite quarterbacks in the sport. Stills should not only get plenty of catches. He is part of a deep receiving corps, which should enable him to get a lot of single coverage situations in which he should be able to showcase his skills.
For rookies, it’s obvious that higher burdens exist, ones that reshape the calculus used by betting software. Yet, if there’s an offensive rookie who can hold up under pressure, it’s DeAndre “Nuke” Hopkins, a dynamic playmaking receiver from Clemson who – with the Houston Texans – could benefit a great deal from being able to play alongside All-Pro receiver Andre Johnson. Houston wanted and needed a big-time threat to take some pressure off Johnson and force defenses to account for the other half of the field. Hopkins is just such a receiver, and yet since Johnson will still draw most of the attention on the Texans’ roster, Hopkins can produce a lot in 2013.