The Super Bowl spread is all over the industry right now, and while New Orleans are the sentimental favorites in this one, you have to take the team that has been here before.

Saints vs Colts odds – Sunday, February 7, 6:20 PM ET

The Saints have lived off turnovers all season, and they forced five against Minnesota in the NFC championship game. However, the explosive New Orleans offense struggled to move the ball in the second half and overtime, and their defense is facing an offense that will protect their quarterback better than the Vikings did with Brett Favre.

The Colts have done what they’ve done all season: make a gameplan, and execute. Peyton Manning has been deadly as he looks to cap his fourth MVP season with another Super Bowl victory, and sportsbook players should note that he won the Super Bowl MVP in 2006.

The Colts are a 5.5-point favorite in this contest, and while the Saints are explosive, they can be contained, as Minnesota showed, and the Colts have a lot of speed on defense. Offensively, we’re not sure if there’s a defense that can slow down Manning and company, as he makes adjustments better than anyone in the league. Also, they won’t be afraid of the big stage, as they’ve been in plenty of pressure games in Manning’s career.

NFL picks: Colts -5.5