Archives for January, 2010

The Super Bowl spread is all over the industry right now, and while New Orleans are the sentimental favorites in this one, you have to take the team that has been here before.

Saints vs Colts odds – Sunday, February 7, 6:20 PM ET

The Saints have lived off turnovers all season, and they forced five against Minnesota in the NFC championship game. However, the explosive New Orleans offense struggled to move the ball in the second half and overtime, and their defense is facing an offense that will protect their quarterback better than the Vikings did with Brett Favre.

The Colts have done what they’ve done all season: make a gameplan, and execute. Peyton Manning has been deadly as he looks to cap his fourth MVP season with another Super Bowl victory, and sportsbook players should note that he won the Super Bowl MVP in 2006.

The Colts are a 5.5-point favorite in this contest, and while the Saints are explosive, they can be contained, as Minnesota showed, and the Colts have a lot of speed on defense. Offensively, we’re not sure if there’s a defense that can slow down Manning and company, as he makes adjustments better than anyone in the league. Also, they won’t be afraid of the big stage, as they’ve been in plenty of pressure games in Manning’s career.

NFL picks: Colts -5.5

Now that the Super Bowl line is up we can start handicapping the matchup and both sides of the equation. The big game is still more than a week away but here is a breakdown of the two offenses:

Quarterbacks:

We’re pretty much splitting hairs between Drew Brees and Peyton Manning but the reality is that Manning has the edge in experience. Talent-wise, these two are similar but you can’t deny the fact that Manning has a ring on his finger and Brees does not.

Running Backs:

The Saints have an edge in this category not necessarily in talent, but in productions. Joseph Addai and Donald Brown are decent backs but the Colts just don’t run it very well. Meanwhile, the Saints are effective with Pierre Thomas and they have the most explosive player of the bunch with Reggie Bush. The edge here goes to the Saints.

Wide Receivers & Tight Ends:

Both teams have excellent receiving units but again, the edge slightly goes to the Colts.

Reggie Wayne is better than Marques Colston, Pierre Garcon is better than Robert Meachem and Austin Collie and Devery Henderson are about even.

At tight end, the Colts have a Pro Bowler in Dallas Clark while the Saints have Jeremy Shockey, who could be a Pro Bowler, but has been battling a knee injury.

Overall:

As the betting tips have indicated, this will be an offensive showdown but the Colts have the better unit slightly.

Wagers are being tallied at all the leading sports betting sites while Saints fans and Colts fans gear up for possible glory.

The Super Bowl line is favoring the AFC`s Indianapolis Colts, but it`s a different story in the Pro Bowl betting line, which is tipped towards the NFC. Here`s a couple of players to keep an eye on next Sunday.

AFC vs NFC Odds – Sunday, January 31, 7:20 PM ET

Chris Johnson, Tennessee – The Offensive Player of the Year led the league by a mile in rushing yards with 2,006, and he had a league-high 22 runs of 20 yards or more. Johnson also had only three fumbles in 358 carries to go with 14 touchdowns, and with the AFC`s injuries under center, he could see the ball a lot.

Sidney Rice, Minnesota – The wide receiver flourished with Brett Favre in Minnesota, finishing fourth in the NFL in receiving yards, and he was a constant big-play threat with 19 catches of 20 yards or more.

Miles Austin, Dallas – Like Rice, Austin came out of nowhere and finished third in the league in yards, with 21 catches of 20 yards or more. With his quarterback, Tony Romo, in the game, Austin could be in line for a huge day.

Verdict: There is little to no defense in this game, so look for the team with the better offensive players, and that is the NFC, who won`t pull off a Super Bowl odds upset, but they`ll take the Pro Bowl.

Super Bowl odds are just around the corner, and the two teams that should participate in the big game are New Orleans and Indianapolis, the top two seeds in the NFL. Here’s what both teams would need to do on February 7th.

The Saints would probably be the underdogs according to sportsbook, thanks to the Colts’ experience, but the Saints have a lot of weapons that the Colts haven’t seen before. They have a decent running game, but the x-factor is Reggie Bush, who destroyed Arizona. Drew Brees and the Saints’ offense could run wild on an Indy secondary that has had trouble stopping the pass against a good quarterback.

The Colts have no running game to speak of, which allows New Orleans to be aggressive with the pass rush, and safety Darren Sharper can help out on wide receiver Reggie Wayne. The key for the Colts will be tight end Dallas Clark, who caught 100 passes and offers a lot of matchup problems. Defensively, the secondary needs to be at their best.

Manning and the Colts always have a chance, especially late in the game, but the New Orleans defense doesn’t get the credit they deserve, and they’ll hold up in a close win for New Orleans.

NFL picks: New Orleans

NFC Conference Championship

Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints

Super Bowl Odds: Saints +215, Vikings +465

Bookmaker Odds (Bookmaker Reviews): Saints -3.5, O/U 52.

The Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints were the two best teams in the NFC this year and on Sunday, they’ll square off in their most important game of the season. It’s win or go home time for both teams and at this point, winning means you get to play for all the marbles in a couple of weeks in Miami and going home means you’ll be sore for about six months thinking about what you missed.

The Vikings have the taller order in this game because they have been tough to beat at home this year but very easy to topple on the road. So far this year, the Vikings have yet to lose at home in nine tries but on the road, they have won just four of eight contests.

The biggest reason for that has been that running back Adrian Peterson has not been himself recently. Sure, he finished the season with 18 rushing touchdowns but at closer look, his yards per carry were not so hot.

Over his last eight games, Peterson failed to top the 100-yard rushing mark in any game and on the season, Peterson has just three such games. For the Vikings to win on the road this weekend, they’ll need to run the ball successfully, control the clock and keep that potent Saints offense on the sideline.

That’s what the game boils down to. If Peterson can run well and the Vikings can dictate the pace, they’ll win. Otherwise, the Saints will likely run away with it in a different manner.

The Saints have one of the best passing offenses in the NFL and the Vikings pass defense is not so hot. If those two are left on the field more than necessary, the Saints will run away with a double-digit win.

Pick: Saints -3.5

The Super Bowl has passed (and congratulations to the New Orleans Saints for winning it), the peak of free agency is behind us (and props to the Washington Redskins for adding the tandem of Donovan McNabb and Mike Shanahan), the NFL Draft has come and gone (and props to the Detroit Lions for appearing to turn things around with a solid draft) and now we are in the dog days of summer.

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The Super Bowl odds will be a little clearer after this weekend but for now, let’s deal with what is in front of us. Here are some picks for this weekend:

Arizona Cardinals @ New Orleans Saints

Experience is a factor for a second straight week as the Cardinals upend the Saints. By the way, Saints haven’t won at home since November 30th.

Pick: Cardinals +7

Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts

This is your blowout of the week. The Indianapolis Colts beat the Baltimore Ravens on the road in Week 11 and now, they’ll serve them some home cooking. Ravens won’t run, Ravens won’t pass, Ravens won’t come close to winning or covering.

Pick: Colts -6.5

Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings

Brett Favre

Brett Favre and Tony Romo are very similar. This weekend, though, the teacher will outplay he student. Vikings were a perfect 8-0 at home this year and didn’t score less than 27 at home. Cowboys won’t score enough.

Pick: Vikings -2.5

New York Jets @ San Diego Chargers

The Jets are the biggest underdog in the sportsbook (us sportsbook reviews) this weekend but their game plan should work. They’ll run the ball and play defense, which won’t get them the win but they’ll cover. Take the Jets plus the points or the Chargers moneyline.

Pick: Jets +7.5, Chargers To Win

Looking at the Super Bowl odds, you have to like the San Diego Chargers on the board. They are hot right now and that goes a long way in the playoffs.

As far as this week goes, there are four more games and only one real underdog worth taking. Sure the Dallas Cowboys look cute but the Minnesota Vikings are off a bye and haven’t lost at home this year, so that’s not too enticing.

The Arizona Cardinals, on the other hand, are.

The New Orleans Saints may have home field advantage and they may have had a bye, but they don’t have the experience.

The Cardinals showed last week that experience is a huge key in the playoffs. They know how to amp things up come playoff time whereas the Saints – well, we’re not so sure.

The Cardinals may not win this game but with Kurt Warner playing the way he did last week, they will surely keep it close. And don’t be surprised if they win it outright.

US Sportsbook Reviews Pick: Cardinals +7

As far as NFL betting goes, it looks to be a tricky weekend as there are only eight teams left on the road to the Super Bowl in Miami on February 7th. But if you’re looking for a lock this weekend, look no further than the team with the rookie quarterback.

The San Diego Chargers, coming off a bye week, are a 7.5-point favorite at home against the New York Jets, who beat Cincinnati 24-14 on the road. The Jets did exactly what they wanted to do, running for 182 yards against the Bengals, while Mark Sanchez was 12-of-15 for 182 yards and two touchdowns. Their top-ranked defense held the Bengals to 281 yards while forcing a pair of turnovers.

Sanchez played very well in his first playoff game, but the Bengals made it easy on him with their inability to stop the run, which aided his play-action game. The Chargers will load up and force Sanchez to beat them, which plays in their hands. Philip Rivers is one of the best pressure quarterbacks in the game, and he has the Chargers on an 11-game winning streak. The Jets have a lot of momentum, but the team that is facing them has more, along with more experience.

Bookmaker odds (bookmaker reviews) pick: San Diego -7.5

The Wild Card Weekend is upon us, so how about some quick sportsbook picks.

New York Jets @ Cincinnati Bengals

Revenge is a dish best served cold. Jets ran up the score last week but should have saved some points for this week.

Pick: Bengals -2.5

Tony Romo


Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys

Third verse, just like the first. This one will be close but the result will be the same. Cowboys win and Romo gets the monkey off his back.

Pick: Cowboys -4

Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots

Here’s your upset of the weekend: Ravens go into Gillette Stadium and get the win. They came close in Week 4, this time they get the job done.

Pick: Ravens +3.5

Green Bay Packers @ Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals have some key injuries and the Packers are red hot. This will be a shootout but the Packers win.

Pick: Packers -1

Check out some Bookmaker Reviews here if you need it.