Archives for December, 2009

Week 15 Quick Picks

It’s the holiday season, which always makes it tough to keep up with all the family (of sports) and all the family (relatives). Nonetheless, we’re back with some picks before Week 16 gets into full swing. May the winners be yours this holiday season.

Seattle Seahawks @ Green Bay Packers -14

Oakland Raiders @ Cleveland Browns -3

Kansas City Chiefs @ Cincinniat Bengals -13.5

Buffalo Bills +9 @ Atlanta Falcons

Houston Texans @ Miami Dolphins -3

Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants -7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints -14

Jacksonville Jaguars +9 @ New England Patriots

Baltimore Ravens +3 @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Denver Broncos @ Philadelphia Eagles -7

St. Louis Rams @ Arizona Cardinals -14

Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers -13.5

New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts -5.5

Dallas Cowboys -7 @ Washington Redskins

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears +7

BetOnline NFL Week 14 Podcost

Stan Simmons, D.J. Tompkins and Blake Frazier are back with their weekly podcast. Here is an update with our fully list of weekly picks:

http://blip.tv/file/2961324

Denver Broncos +7 @ Indianapolis Colts

Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings -6.5

New York Jets -3.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs +1

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears +3

New Orleans Saints -10 @ Atlanta Falcons

Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens -13.5

Miami Dolphins +1 @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Carolina Panthers @ New England Patriots -13

Seattle Seahawks @ Houston Texans -6.5

St. Louis Rams @ Tennessee Titans -13

Washington Redskins -1 @ Oakland Raiders

San Diego Chargers +3 @ Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants -1

Arizona Cardinals -3 @ San Francisco 49ers

Sports betting players are always looking for a tip or two to help them with their NFL picks, especially when it comes to underdogs, which is why we’re here at NFLbet.org. This week’s Underdog comes from the West Coast, where Oakland is a home underdog against Washington.

Redskins vs Raiders betting – Sunday, December 4:05 PM ET

The Redskins (3-9) essentially gave a 33-30 overtime win to New Orleans, and it all began with a missed 23-yard field goal from Shaun Suisham with 1:52 left on the clock. That would have put the Redskins up by 10 in a game they deserved to win, but instead, Drew Brees drove the Saints 80 yards in 33 seconds to tie the game, and then Garrett Hartley kicked an 18-yarder in the extra period. Washington has now lost three straight by a combined seven points, and the loss to the Saints may have broken their spirit.

The Raiders (4-8) got a huge performance from Bruce Gradkowski in a 27-24 upset win at Pittsburgh, as the AFC Player of the Week went 20-of-33 for 308 yards and three fourth-quarter touchdown passes, including his second to Louis Murphy with nine seconds left. The Raiders’ NFL betting odds may be marginally better with Gradkowski at the helm over JaMarcus Russell, which must make Russell, a former No.1 overall pick, feel terrible about himself.

NFL betting odds in your sportsbook have the Redskins as a 1-point favorite on the road, but the Raiders should come away with this. Oakland would do well to watch tape of the Washington-New Orleans game, when Redskins safety Laron Landry was burned a few times on double moves in the secondary. This could free up deep threats like Murphy, and if the Redskins can’t stop the big plays, that will also open up the short-passing game. The Redskins are banged up on offense, particularly at running back, which means the onus is on Jason Campbell and the aerial attack, and Oakland’s pass defense is actually decent. The Redskins are also 0-4 ATS when they’re an NFL betting favorite, and they’re 0-6 away from home this year.

Internet sports betting pick: Oakland +1

The Bengals Vikings odds may be the game of the week but there is some good value as far as football picks goes with the Dolphins-Jaguars game.

The Miami Dolphins have won six of their last nine games after starting 0-3 and they are just one game behind the New England Patriots for the AFC East lead and one game behind the Jacksonville Jaguars for an AFC Wild Card spot.

Of the Jags seven wins this year, none of them have come against a team with a record above .500. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are confident after a big win over the Patriots.

The game is going to be played in Jacksonville, which is in both teams home state of Florida. That’s an advantage to Miami because they may actually have the bigger fan base at the game on Sunday.

More importantly, the Dolphins are the better team overall. Quarterback Chad Henne is improving week by week, the defense is playing very well and the special teams are above average.

The Jags rely far too much on Maurice Jones-Drew and if he doesn’t have a big game, the Jags probably won’t win. Look for the Dolphins to put their focus on MJD and force the Jags to be one-dimensional.

Pick: Dolphins +1

BetOnline NFL Week 13 Podcast

The BetOnline.com handicappers are back and this week, Stan Simmons unleashes his Game of the Year. Listen to the podcast (coming shortly) to hear all of Simmons’, Blake Frazier’s and D.J. Tompkins’ picks for NFL Week 13.

Denver Broncos -5 @ Kansas City Chiefs

Oakland Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers -15

Houston Texans +1 @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Tennessee Titans +6.5 @ Indianapolis Colts

Philadelphia Eagles -5 @ Atlanta Falcons

Detroit Lions @ Cincinnati Bengals -13

New Orleans Saints -9.5 @ Washington Redskins

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers -6

St. Louis Rams @ Chicago Bears -9

San Diego Chargers -13.5 @ Cleveland Browns

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks -1

Minnesota Vikings -3.5 @ Arizona Cardinals

Dallas Cowboys -1 @ New York Giants

Baltimore Ravens @ Green Bay Packers -3

NFL – Lock Of The Week

While the Philadelphia Eagles struggled with the Washington Redskins last week, they should have a much easier time of things with the Atlanta Falcons this week.

The Falcons will be without starting quarterback Matt Ryan, running back Michael Turner and left tackle Sam Baker this week, which really takes the bite out of their offense.

On the other sideline, though, will be one of the best passing offenses in the league and that’s not something that the Falcons want to hear about.

The Falcons pass defense is among the worst in the NFL. So far this year, they have given up 45 pass plays of 20 yards or longer, which is the most in the NFL. They’ll be going up against Donovan McNabb and a prolific passing offense – even if DeSean Jackson is out this week.

The Eagles have depth at receiver and they will find ways to move the football down the field. For the Falcons, though, it’s hard to say the same. With backups at three key positions, they’ll have trouble against a very good defense that blitzes and creates pressure frequently.

Look for the Eagles to win rather easily in this game and cover the five-point spread without issue.

Pick: Eagles -5

NFL – Underdog Of The Week

The Houston Texans are at a low-point right, morally speaking.

They are at 5-6 and just one game out of the playoffs but just three games ago, they were 5-3 with a great chance to make the playoffs.

The Texans blew two consecutive games by missing game-tying kicks late in fourth quarters. Then they blew a 17-point lead to the Indianapolis Colts last week and completely folded in the second half.

Even so, this is a team that plays better when there is no pressure and that is exactly the situation this week.

The Texans head out on the road to face the Jacksonville Jaguars in a very manageable contest for them.

Jacksonville is a team that can beat the bad teams in the league and can take advantage of mistakes, but they don’t overwhelm any of their opponents. This week, they’ll be without cornerback Rashean Mathis, who is their best cover man, and when you consider that the Jaguars have just 10 sacks in the NFL this year, which is the fewest, they’ll have a tough time pressuring Matt Schaub.

Look for the Texans to get a big bounce back win and top the Jaguars.

Pick: Houston +1

 
 

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